2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
932 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,436/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$715
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,544/yr
Cap rate
14.77%
Cash-on-cash
30.28%
DSCR
2.35
1% rule
4.79%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
Crestwood School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #242 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 143 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 5.5% in Dearborn Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Peeling paint on exterior and interior
Major: Siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: Flooring
— Worn-out carpet in living areas
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Older and dated design
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Basic and dated design
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown lawn and lack of landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-0RJ2WD100KQW4N
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29