2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,906 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,082/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$259
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-584/mo
Annual
$-7,011/yr
Cap rate
3.18%
Cash-on-cash
-11.13%
DSCR
0.50
1% rule
0.48%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-584 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (45.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (51.9% below list).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (51.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#90 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Market conditions: 11 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $225k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0RQK3P2AHPSWDN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29