4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,148/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$451
Net cashflow
$38/mo
Annual
$458/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.61%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($458/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (20.2% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $215k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in IN, #446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
Noblesville Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #26 of 301 in IN (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hinkle Creek Elementary School (math 56% / reading 55%, grade C, #188 of 994 statewide, top 19%, 927 students, 19% FRL); Noblesville West Middle School (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C, #37 of 330 statewide, top 12%, 1,402 students, 20% FRL); Noblesville High School (math 53% / reading 79%, grade B, #28 of 369 statewide, top 7%, 3,227 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $220k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.2% in Noblesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0SA9K67147X9HK
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29