2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,170/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$476/mo
Annual
$5,711/yr
Cap rate
15.09%
Cash-on-cash
31.43%
DSCR
2.40
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Caldwell County Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #106 of 178 in NC (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hudson Elementary (math 47% / reading 45%, grade D-, #551 of 1,410 statewide, top 40%, 654 students, 72% FRL); South Caldwell High (math 55% / reading 51%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,317 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 465 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Caldwell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caldwell County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0T4151BPPK0KFR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29