3549 Boyette Rd · Cajah's Mountain, NC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 bedroom, 1 bath singlewide home situated on a nice level lot with plenty of potential. The open living room and kitchen area create a comfortable layout with great possibilities for updates and personal touches. A deck just off the living room overlooks the backyard, offering a relaxing outdoor space to enjoy. The level yard provides room for gardening, recreation, or additional outdoor features. Conveniently located near downtown Hudson and the Cajah Mountain area, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and local amenities. Property is served by a septic system and well, with a City of Lenoir water tap available at the street. Sellers currently researching the age of the s
Key facts
- 0.37 acre lot
- Built 1986
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Shared well (tap fee may be required); Septic system installed; Cable and electricity connected; Other water details noted in remarks
- Home design: Manufactured singlewide home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction with vinyl exterior; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a one-level residence
- Exterior features: Level lot; Road surfaces include dirt, gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Caldwell County Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #106 of 178 in NC (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hudson Elementary (math 47% / reading 45%, grade D-, #551 of 1,410 statewide, top 40%, 654 students, 72% FRL); South Caldwell High (math 55% / reading 51%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,317 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 465 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Caldwell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caldwell County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.43%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,208
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1326 Southhaven Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 787 (+0%) | 22mo | $166,500 | $212 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $19,815
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.10×
- Total profit
- $56,360
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28645
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $476
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3362 Normandy Park Rd Apt 2C Cajah's Mountain, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2311 Central Dr Lenoir, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $64,900 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,043
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $4,974
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caldwell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700580
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,165
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5079
- State rank
- #106 of 178 in NC
Livability — Cajah's Mountain
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,237
Population outlook (Caldwell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,603 people
- By 2030
- 74,714 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 67,732 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 59,938 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 43,232 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 28,894 · -62.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caldwell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.4% · R 76.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+50.6 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+29.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.03%
- Current HPI
- 265.0987
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $70,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $107 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…