2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,447 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,629/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$778
Tax + insurance
−$314
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$342
Net cashflow
$195/mo
Annual
$2,343/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.56%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$41,552
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $148k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $139k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in WV, #2,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
Chesapeake Union Exempted Village (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #461 of 656 in OH (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.5% in Huntington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Driveway
— Significant cracking and unevenness
Major: Fencing
— Old and weathered
Major: Landscaping
— Sparse and unkempt
Major: Siding
— Aged and may need repainting
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29