6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,555/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$-160/mo
Annual
$-1,914/yr
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.41%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (18.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#454 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, commute F.
Hancock Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #649 of 755 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $24k; list at $155k implies a 546% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.4% in Hancock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0VKWSQD6DHNKY6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29