6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,970 sqft ·
Built 1896
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$601
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$966
Net cashflow
$1,591/mo
Annual
$19,089/yr
Cap rate
13.23%
Cash-on-cash
24.79%
DSCR
2.10
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $530/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $275k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Walsh School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #512 of 553 statewide, top 94%, 360 students, 83% FRL); Michael F. Wallace Middle School (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #160 of 175 statewide, top 91%, 1,062 students, 86% FRL); Crosby High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #187 of 194 statewide, top 96%, 1,400 students, 84% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $275k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,600/mo this rent would consume 113% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29