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None Triplex
B+ Composite 78.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$275,000

None · Waterbury, CT 06704
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,970 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1896 5,662 sqft lot Est $359k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3 Family Home. 1st and 2nd Floors Offer 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath and Washer Hookups. 3rd Floor is a 2 Bedroom, One Bath. All units a have Separate Gas Furnaces, Electrical Panels. 1st and 3rd Floor have Gas Hot Water Heaters. 2nd Floor has an Electric Hot Water Heater. 1st Floor Furnace is A Year Old! Great Opportunity For Owner Occupant Or Investor!

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Built 1896
  • Listed 47 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $530/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
  • Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Walsh School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #512 of 553 statewide, top 94%, 360 students, 83% FRL); Michael F. Wallace Middle School (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #160 of 175 statewide, top 91%, 1,062 students, 86% FRL); Crosby High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #187 of 194 statewide, top 96%, 1,400 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,600/mo this rent would consume 113% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $275k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $266,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.23%
Cash-on-cash
24.79%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$359,370
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
245 Walnut St 0.00mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,970 (0%) 0mo $210,000 $71 95
21 Violet St 0.23mi 6/3.0 2,941 (-1%) 4mo $270,000 $92 84
290 Orange St 0.20mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,050 (+3%) 7mo $435,000 $143 75
11 Putnam St 0.10mi 6/3.0 3,188 (+7%) 11mo $387,000 $121 74
32 Young St 0.16mi 6/3.0 3,024 (+2%) 21mo $330,000 $109 72
64 Wood St 0.12mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,393 (+14%) 1mo $495,000 $146 65
65 Brewster St 0.52mi 6/3.0 3,024 (+2%) 18mo $325,000 $107 58
28 Wall St 0.34mi 6/3.0 3,280 (+10%) 16mo $292,500 $89 54
42 Platt St 0.51mi 6/2.0 2,798 (-6%) 23mo $340,000 $122 44
51 River St 0.73mi 6/3.0 2,669 (-10%) 14mo $457,500 $171 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$81,223
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
5.06×
Total profit
$312,474
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06704

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,600 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$486 /mo · $5,838/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$966
Net cashflow
$1,591

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,586
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,746 -5% $1,669 +0% $1,591 +5% $1,513 +10% $1,435
Rent -10% $1,227 -5% $1,409 +0% $1,591 +5% $1,772 +10% $1,954
Rate -1.0pp $1,729 -0.5pp $1,661 base $1,591 +0.5pp $1,520 +1.0pp $1,447

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $4,600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Niagara St Waterbury, CT 6.0 3.0 3156 $1,700 $0.54 5d 1 0.83mi
37 Johnson St Waterbury, CT 6.0 1.5 2002 $3,200 $1.60 5d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-03-13
    listed $275,000 Active
  3. 2020-08-21
    soldstatus $120,000
  4. 2020-08-20
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Spacious 3 Family Home. 1st and 2nd Floors Offer 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath and Washer Hookups. 3rd Floor is a 2 Bedroom, One Bath. All units a have Separate Gas Furnaces, Electrical Panels. 1st and 3rd Floor have Gas Hot Water Heaters. 2nd Floor has an Electric Hot Water Heater. 1st Floor Furnace is A Year Old! Great Opportunity For Owner Occupant Or Investor!

  5. 2020-07-02
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Spacious 3 Family Home. 1st and 2nd Floors Offer 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath and Washer Hookups. 3rd Floor is a 2 Bedroom, One Bath. All units a have Separate Gas Furnaces, Electrical Panels. 1st and 3rd Floor have Gas Hot Water Heaters. 2nd Floor has an Electric Hot Water Heater. 1st Floor Furnace is A Year Old! Great Opportunity For Owner Occupant Or Investor!

  6. 2020-03-15
    listed $149,900 Active 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Spacious 3 Family Home. 1st and 2nd Floors Offer 3 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath and Washer Hookups. 3rd Floor is a 2 Bedroom, One Bath. All units a have Separate Gas Furnaces, Electrical Panels. 1st and 3rd Floor have Gas Hot Water Heaters. 2nd Floor has an Electric Hot Water Heater. 1st Floor Furnace is A Year Old! Great Opportunity For Owner Occupant Or Investor!

  7. 2018-02-15
    soldstatus $70,000
  8. 2018-02-13
    status Under Contract 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    All 3 floors are rented month to month. New hot water heater on first floor. New flooring on second floor. new wiring knob and tube was removed. new venting system on second floor boiler

  9. 2018-02-13
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    All 3 floors are rented month to month. New hot water heater on first floor. New flooring on second floor. new wiring knob and tube was removed. new venting system on second floor boiler

  10. 2018-02-13
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    All 3 floors are rented month to month. New hot water heater on first floor. New flooring on second floor. new wiring knob and tube was removed. new venting system on second floor boiler

  11. 2018-01-31
    status Under Contract 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    All 3 floors are rented month to month. New hot water heater on first floor. New flooring on second floor. new wiring knob and tube was removed. new venting system on second floor boiler

  12. 2017-12-22
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    All 3 floors are rented month to month. New hot water heater on first floor. New flooring on second floor. new wiring knob and tube was removed. new venting system on second floor boiler

  13. 2017-12-08
    listed $74,900 Active 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    All 3 floors are rented month to month. New hot water heater on first floor. New flooring on second floor. new wiring knob and tube was removed. new venting system on second floor boiler

  14. 2016-05-20
    soldstatus $66,000
  15. 2016-05-17
    soldstatus $66,000
  16. 2016-02-24
    historical
  17. 2016-01-08
    listed $69,900
  18. 2014-09-11
    historical
  19. 2014-05-06
    listed $79,900
  20. 2012-12-10
    soldstatus $40,000
  21. 2012-12-07
    soldstatus $40,000
  22. 2012-09-07
    listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,838 · $486/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,862 · $488/mo
Expected delta
+$24/yr (+$2/mo · 0.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,200
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$5,838
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,416
− Management
−$4,416
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$15,751
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,780
After-tax cash flow
$15,309/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterbury School District
NCES district ID
0904830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,040
Composite
14.85/100
National rank
#9380
State rank
#148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

Score
79/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterbury, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
115,012
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
31,713
Household income
$48,718
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
1981.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% Black 28% Two or more races 20% White 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.05%
Current HPI
340.0917
Rent YoY
▲ 8.02%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+450.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $275,000 Smart MLS
  • 2020-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-20 Sold (MLS) $120,000 Smart MLS
  • 2020-07-02 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2020-03-15 Listed $149,900 Smart MLS
  • 2018-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2018-02-13 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2018-02-13 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2018-02-13 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-01-31 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2017-12-22 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2017-12-08 Listed $74,900 Smart MLS
  • 2016-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-17 Sold (MLS) $66,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-02-24 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-01-08 Listed $69,900 Smart MLS
  • 2014-09-11 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2014-05-06 Listed $79,900 Smart MLS
  • 2012-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-07 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Smart MLS
  • 2012-09-07 Listed $50,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,838 · +75.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…