3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,224/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-134/mo
Annual
$-1,605/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.70%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (28.0% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#276 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0WQZM2CVZE64KG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29