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1376 Whites Creek Rd
D Composite 44.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$170,000

1376 Whites Creek Rd · Prichard, WV 25555
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1972 0.51 ac lot $85/sqft · 6% below area Est $181k · 6% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stately two story 4 bed 2.5 bath home situated on a half acre lot. Entering through the formal foyer this home has a lot to offer on the main level including a large living room with fireplace and direct access to a screened in porch, country dining room, kitchen and breakfast bar. A first floor bedroom, utility room, half bath and cavernous family/rec room with gas log fireplace. The main level has new carpet and fresh paint throughout. Upstairs you will find 3 additional bedrooms including an en suite with private bath and sitting / powder area plus another full bath. Perfect for extended family or rental there is a detached patio home that features 2, possible 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room and eat in kitchen.

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Level yard
  • Loft area

Tags

LEVEL YARDEASY ACCESSDETACHED GARAGELOFT AREALARGE PARKING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (13.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#276 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,356 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.70%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,411
List price
$170,000
Delta
-6.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$21,963
Equity at exit
$87,110
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$78,292
Equity at exit
$143,213

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25555

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,224 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $859/yr
Insurance
$71
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$-134

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,393
Max offer price $146,369
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-38 -5% $-86 +0% $-134 +5% $-182 +10% $-230
Rent -10% $-230 -5% $-182 +0% $-134 +5% $-85 +10% $-37
Rate -1.0pp $-48 -0.5pp $-91 base $-134 +0.5pp $-178 +1.0pp $-223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $170,000 Active 322-char remark
  18. 2023-10-06
    listed $187,500
  19. 2021-07-29
    soldstatus $185,000
    Show marketing remark (728 chars)

    Stately two story 4 bed 2.5 bath home situated on a half acre lot. Entering through the formal foyer this home has a lot to offer on the main level including a large living room with fireplace and direct access to a screened in porch, country dining room, kitchen and breakfast bar. A first floor bedroom, utility room, half bath and cavernous family/rec room with gas log fireplace. The main level has new carpet and fresh paint throughout. Upstairs you will find 3 additional bedrooms including an en suite with private bath and sitting / powder area plus another full bath. Perfect for extended family or rental there is a detached patio home that features 2, possible 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room and eat in kitchen.

  20. 2020-12-15
    listed $185,500
    Show marketing remark (728 chars)

    Stately two story 4 bed 2.5 bath home situated on a half acre lot. Entering through the formal foyer this home has a lot to offer on the main level including a large living room with fireplace and direct access to a screened in porch, country dining room, kitchen and breakfast bar. A first floor bedroom, utility room, half bath and cavernous family/rec room with gas log fireplace. The main level has new carpet and fresh paint throughout. Upstairs you will find 3 additional bedrooms including an en suite with private bath and sitting / powder area plus another full bath. Perfect for extended family or rental there is a detached patio home that features 2, possible 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room and eat in kitchen.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$859 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,003 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$144/yr (+$12/mo · 16.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,683
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$859
− Insurance
−$1,648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,175
− Management
−$1,175
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$4,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,114
After-tax cash flow
$-491/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne County Schools
NCES district ID
5401500
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$36,283
Composite
26.08/100
National rank
#7297
State rank
#25 of 55 in WV

Livability — Prichard

Score
55/100
State rank
#276
US rank
#23008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,083

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,267 people
By 2030
36,578 · -4.4%
By 2040
33,034 · -13.7%
By 2050
29,671 · -22.5%
By 2075
22,901 · -40.2%
By 2100
17,421 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.09%
Current HPI
141.4831
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-8.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $170,000 HBRMLS
  • 2023-10-06 Listed $187,500 AABOR
  • 2021-07-29 Sold (MLS) $185,000 HBRMLS
  • 2020-12-15 Listed $185,500 HBRMLS

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $859 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…