4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,688 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,210/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$306
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$884
Net cashflow
$660/mo
Annual
$7,918/yr
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.28%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $660 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $421k (6.4% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($443k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $421k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#58 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, amenities B+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F, health & safety F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Berkeley Lake Elementary School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #463 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 819 students, 52% FRL); Duluth Middle School (math 22% / reading 26%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 1,271 students, 72% FRL); Duluth High School (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,644 students, 55% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $233k; list at $450k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.5% in Peachtree Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,210/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 4726% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0X8C6TATVDYM7R
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29