3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,764 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,906
Tax + insurance
−$606
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$644
Net cashflow
$-290/mo
Annual
$-3,479/yr
Cap rate
5.34%
Cash-on-cash
-3.42%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$101,780
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $364k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-290 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $322k (11.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($331k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $307k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#496 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hunt Club Elem (math 25% / reading 26%, grade F, #829 of 2,056 statewide, top 41%, 411 students, 0% FRL); Traughber Jr High School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 1,135 students, 0% FRL); Oswego High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,901 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 35d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 12882% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.9% in Plainfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0X95XR4QBTW572
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29