185 Chatham Dr

Holly Springs, MS 38635

$137,900B

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,658 sqft · Built 1964 · SingleFamily · Pending · 7 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,600/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$723
• Tax + insurance: −$188
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$336
• Net cashflow: $353/mo
• Annual: $4,239/yr
• Cap rate: 9.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.98%
• DSCR: 1.49
• 1% rule: 1.16%
• Cash to close: $38,612

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $939 of equity ($953 loan paydown + $-14 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#178 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Holly Springs School District (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #111 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Holly Springs Primary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #308 of 375 statewide, top 83%, 358 students, 100% FRL); Holly Springs Junior High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #125 of 179 statewide, top 70%, 138 students, 100% FRL); Holly Springs High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #164 of 197 statewide, top 84%, 301 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 310 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Marshall County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.4% in Holly Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.