6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,631 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,525/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$530
Net cashflow
$1,052/mo
Annual
$12,619/yr
Cap rate
15.31%
Cash-on-cash
32.19%
DSCR
2.43
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $351/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $140k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0YGQ57BG40WSPS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29