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121 D St Triplex
B Composite 71.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$140,000

121 D St · Johnstown, PA 15906
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,631 sqft · MultiFamily · 49 Days on market
6,578 sqft lot $53/sqft · 151% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Extremely well maintained 3 unit property. The main house has 2 units. The separate rear home is a 2 bedroom home on it's own utilities. Vinyl siding. New sewers in both. New carpet and flooring throughout the 3 bedroom unit. Large shed. Must see! Call for your personal tour today!

Key facts

  • 6,578 sq ft lot
  • Listed 48 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Actual rent: 3-bedroom unit $1,000; one 2-bedroom unit $650; other 2-bedroom unit currently listed without rent specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit; Two 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Three 1-bath units (each unit has 1 bathroom)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Full basement; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $351/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $140k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $135,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.31%
Cash-on-cash
32.19%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,789
List price
$140,000
Delta
150.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
223-225 Fairfield Ave 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,500 (-5%) 12mo $85,900 $34 68
188 - 190 Fairfield Ave 0.15mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,432 (-8%) 11mo $67,000 $28 62
113 Boyer St 0.59mi 6/3.0 2,736 (+4%) 10mo $55,000 $20 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$44,311
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$124,920
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15906

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,525 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$530
Net cashflow
$1,052

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,131 -5% $1,091 +0% $1,052 +5% $1,012 +10% $972
Rent -10% $852 -5% $952 +0% $1,052 +5% $1,151 +10% $1,251
Rate -1.0pp $1,122 -0.5pp $1,087 base $1,052 +0.5pp $1,015 +1.0pp $978

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $2,525

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    listed $150,000 Active 523-char remark
  17. 2020-09-02
    soldstatus $39,900
  18. 2020-08-21
    soldstatus $39,900 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Extremely well maintained 3 unit property. The main house has 2 units. The separate rear home is a 2 bedroom home on it's own utilities. Vinyl siding. New sewers in both. New carpet and flooring throughout the 3 bedroom unit. Large shed. Must see! Call for your personal tour today!

  19. 1981-09-01
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,808 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,010 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$202/yr (+$17/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,300
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,808
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,424
− Management
−$2,424
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$11,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,647
After-tax cash flow
$9,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, PA
City population
30,791
Population (ZIP)
9,654

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.26%
Current HPI
77.6797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1172.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $140,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $150,000 CSMLS
  • 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
  • 2020-08-21 Sold (MLS) $39,900 CSMLS
  • 1981-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,808 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…