3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 2014
· Manufactured
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,687/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,612
Tax + insurance
−$830
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$984
Net cashflow
$261/mo
Annual
$3,131/yr
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.25%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$139,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $498k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $469k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($483k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $469k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#14 in CA, #671 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Mountain View-Los Altos Union High (urban): math 77% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #11 of 517 in CA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Mountain View High (math 83% / reading 89%, grade A, #25 of 1,170 statewide, top 2%, 2,220 students, 13% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 22 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.4% in Mountain View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($179k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0ZSW17FS9P0AXP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29