3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
919 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$-46/mo
Annual
$-547/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-547/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (3.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (25.4% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $168k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in WY, #947 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D.
Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Poder Academy (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A+, #1 of 151 statewide, top 1%, 194 students, 42% FRL, charter); Johnson Junior High School (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #53 of 55 statewide, top 96%, 647 students, 66% FRL); South High School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #62 of 75 statewide, top 82%, 1,187 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 32% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $170k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in Cheyenne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-10X27D7A65RTJF
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29