6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,632 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$404
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,002
Net cashflow
$1,797/mo
Annual
$21,567/yr
Cap rate
13.73%
Cash-on-cash
26.56%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $599/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $299k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $295k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: schools D+.
Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 30% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $240k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 4.0% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,771/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1643% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-11TX77C40QMF80
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29