2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,246/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$37
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$807/mo
Annual
$9,684/yr
Cap rate
165.61%
Cash-on-cash
568.98%
DSCR
26.32
1% rule
17.80%
Cash to close
$1,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $7k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $7k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $48 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $210 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#117 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Chickasha (town): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #115 of 270 in OK (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Chickasha Hs (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #296 of 447 statewide, top 67%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (80%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 165.6% vs local median 4.8% in Chickasha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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