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312 W Illinois Ave
D Composite 42.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$7,000

312 W Illinois Ave · Chickasha, OK 73018
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1935 6,190 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home needs lots of tlc or a John Deere Dozer, you take your pick. .. . This home is currently rented and will only be shown after 1pm.

Key facts

  • 6,190 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1935

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Occupied; No storm shelter; Directions: From 4th and Choctaw go North to Illinois and go west to the property.
  • Financial info: Assumable loan status unknown; Loan qualification status unknown; Current list price reported
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Assessor-reported living area
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level property; Residential property; Located in Chickasha Ot legal addition; Homestead eligible
  • Construction: Frame and metal siding construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Existing property
  • Exterior features: Porch; Interior lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: No fireplace; No in-law plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $7k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $7k).
  • Recommended offer: $7k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 165.6% vs local median 4.8% in Chickasha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#117 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Chickasha (town): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #115 of 270 in OK (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Chickasha Hs (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #296 of 447 statewide, top 67%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $48 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $210 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (80%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $6,580 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
17.80%
Cap rate
165.61%
Cash-on-cash
568.98%
DSCR
26.32
GRM
0.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,464
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
319 S 9th St 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,060 (+4%) 2mo $65,000 $61 62
915 W Iowa Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,030 (+1%) 9mo $100,000 $97 58
1007 W Colorado Ave 0.72mi 2/2.0 938 (-8%) 6mo $113,000 $120 43
1016 El Reno Ave 0.72mi 2/1.5 1,174 (+15%) 8mo $34,500 $29 33
210 W Ada Sipuel Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 875 (-15%) 16mo $8,500 $10 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.70×
Total profit
$50,364
Equity at exit
$1,044
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
57.35×
Total profit
$110,441
Equity at exit
$605

Cash invested: $1,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73018

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,246 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$37
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $184/yr
Insurance
$3
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$807

Break-even live

Break-even rent $224
Max offer price $7,000
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $811 -5% $809 +0% $807 +5% $805 +10% $803
Rent -10% $709 -5% $758 +0% $807 +5% $856 +10% $905
Rate -1.0pp $811 -0.5pp $809 base $807 +0.5pp $805 +1.0pp $803

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,750
Closing costs
$210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
810 W Illinois Ave Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 24d 1 0.39mi
810 W Illinois Ave Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 4d 1 0.39mi
519 W Minnesota Ave Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 2d 1 0.63mi
509 W Oregon Ave Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 2d 1 0.84mi
1223 W Colorado Ave Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 864 $1,275 $1.48 2d 1 0.85mi
816 S 2nd St Chickasha, OK 3.0 2.0 1047 $1,100 $1.05 2d 1 0.86mi
641 Marlin Ct Chickasha, OK 2.0–3.0 2.0 1300 $1,498 $1.15 2d 3 0.93mi
1315 S Sheppard St Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 864 $1,250 $1.45 4d 1 1.25mi
1024 S 13th St Chickasha, OK 2.0 2.0 1265 $925 $0.73 11d 1 1.27mi
1008 S 14th St Chickasha, OK 3.0 2.0 1485 $1,395 $0.94 2d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-15
    status Active
  3. 2026-05-15
    price $7,000
  4. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  5. 2026-05-09
    price $29,900
  6. 2026-05-06
    price $7,000
  7. 2026-05-02
    status Active
  8. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  9. 2026-03-22
    price $29,900
  10. 2026-02-23
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$184 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$184 · $15/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AO · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,951
− Mortgage interest
−$392
− Property taxes
−$184
− Insurance
−$1,502
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,196
− Management
−$1,196
− Depreciation
−$204
Taxable income
$10,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,466
After-tax cash flow
$7,218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chickasha
NCES district ID
4007560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$38,561
Composite
20.95/100
National rank
#8476
State rank
#115 of 270 in OK

Livability — Chickasha

Score
66/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#11902

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chickasha, OK
County
Grady County · 20,505 people
City population
20,505
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
20,505
Household income
$56,484
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
685.0

Population outlook (Grady County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,962 people
By 2030
62,513 · +4.3%
By 2040
67,338 · +12.3%
By 2050
71,719 · +19.6%
By 2075
82,684 · +37.9%
By 2100
89,387 · +49.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Native American 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Grady

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.9% · R 80.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: -46.7pp · 2024: -62.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.7 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+60.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+46.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.82%
Current HPI
249.6051
Rent YoY
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-80.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MLSOK
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $7,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-05-09 Pending MLSOK
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $29,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $7,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2026-04-23 Pending MLSOK
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $29,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $35,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $184 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…