2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
988 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 175 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,032/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$730
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$-155/mo
Annual
$-1,858/yr
Cap rate
5.05%
Cash-on-cash
-4.45%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-155 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (15.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Orchard View Elementary School (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 596 students, 76% FRL); Carver Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 732 students, 73% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 810 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 77d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.1% in Delray Beach — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29