3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,751/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$532
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$578
Net cashflow
$-326/mo
Annual
$-3,907/yr
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.72%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-326 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (15.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (26.6% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $275k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in CT, #371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D-.
New Milford School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #100 of 153 in CT (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $255k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in New Milford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-12TP5723TGZ6MA
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29