4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,023 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$149
Tax + insurance
−$49
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$653
Net cashflow
$2,256/mo
Annual
$27,078/yr
Cap rate
101.30%
Cash-on-cash
339.32%
DSCR
16.10
1% rule
10.91%
Cash to close
$7,980
Investor read
This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $28k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $564/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $28k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $28k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $197 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $855 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, employment D-.
Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $28k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 101.3% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,108/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1600% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-12TY05BEFMG1DS
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29