3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,894 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,071/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$506
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$645
Net cashflow
$90/mo
Annual
$1,081/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.11%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (12.0% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $307k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#638 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Ephrata Area SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #173 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Akron El Sch (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 276 students, 60% FRL); Ephrata Shs (math 78% / reading 44%, grade B-, #74 of 437 statewide, top 17%, 1,317 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $349k implies a 578% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-12W24N6XXCH4BV
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29