3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,862 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,624/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,457
Tax + insurance
−$1,872
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,391
Net cashflow
$-1,097/mo
Annual
$-13,164/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.53%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$238,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-548/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $656k (22.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $662k (22.1% below list).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($748k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $656k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#27 in NY, #480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Pelham Union Free School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #29 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 0.5% in Pelham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($215k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29