4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,388 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$105/mo
Annual
$1,255/yr
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.20%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (6.9% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, crime F.
Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Palm Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,382 of 1,584 statewide, top 88%, 281 students, 0% FRL); Longfellow Middle School (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #624 of 654 statewide, top 96%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Lorain High School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #638 of 781 statewide, top 82%, 1,722 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 80% district-wide (80 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.7% in Lorain — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-14F6D9CXFAVW0K
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29