None bd · None ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1994
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 235 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,443/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$726
Tax + insurance
−$231
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$513
Net cashflow
$973/mo
Annual
$11,674/yr
Cap rate
14.72%
Cash-on-cash
30.10%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
1.76%
Cash to close
$38,780
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $138k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $324/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $958 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,443/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 871% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: exterior paint
— Visible peeling and fading
CashFlowRE · CFR-166R8K5V89CWKB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29