3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,740/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$452
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$323/mo
Annual
$3,875/yr
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.22%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in VT, #4,619 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, employment B; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
Zoned schools: J. J. Flynn School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #123 of 192 statewide, top 66%, 327 students, 54% FRL); Edmunds Middle School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade C, #8 of 26 statewide, top 32%, 365 students, 50% FRL); Burlington High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #8 of 48 statewide, top 15%, 987 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.2% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-16J9NR6ZTKS80N
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29