4 bd · 5.0 ba ·
2,256 sqft ·
Built 1984
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,664/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$1,101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$769
Net cashflow
$-959/mo
Annual
$-11,513/yr
Cap rate
4.10%
Cash-on-cash
-7.83%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-959 ($-12k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-480/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $356k (32.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $366k (30.2% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($509k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $356k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#16 in TX, #1,208 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
Austin ISD (urban): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #431 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.4%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $64k; list at $525k implies a 714% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 1.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($139k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-18E79442MNEG2H
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29