3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,221 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,464/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$383
Tax + insurance
−$252
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$521/mo
Annual
$6,256/yr
Cap rate
15.78%
Cash-on-cash
33.87%
DSCR
2.51
1% rule
2.01%
Cash to close
$20,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($505 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sidney Elementary School (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 527 students, 52% FRL); Sidney Middle School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #448 of 729 statewide, top 63%, 171 students, 53% FRL); Sidney High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 336 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-18EJK3AZTPA991
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29