3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,167 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,645/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$434
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-335/mo
Annual
$-4,025/yr
Cap rate
4.54%
Cash-on-cash
-6.28%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-335 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (25.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (28.2% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $165k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Havel Elementary School (math 33% / reading 47%, grade F, #596 of 1,397 statewide, top 43%, 586 students, 51% FRL); Bemis Junior High School (math 41% / reading 63%, grade C+, #95 of 493 statewide, top 20%, 805 students, 44% FRL); Henry Ford Ii High School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D-, #211 of 713 statewide, top 30%, 1,717 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 26% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $229k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling Heights — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1A28SJ4714SNY8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29