2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
676 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,477/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$545
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$230/mo
Annual
$2,760/yr
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.19%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
2.28%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#55 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Barre Town Elementary & Middle School (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #111 of 192 statewide, top 58%, 800 students, 19% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $65k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1AYTT7AXVAHS2T
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29