16 bd · 1.0 ba ·
4,248 sqft ·
Built 1939
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$685
Net cashflow
$1,170/mo
Annual
$14,040/yr
Cap rate
12.98%
Cash-on-cash
23.88%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $292/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $92k; list at $210k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,263/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1475% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1B64EAD7CKXWFK
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29