3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,416 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,169/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$81/mo
Annual
$974/yr
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.50%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($974/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (15.9% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $117k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Silo (rural): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #64 of 270 in OK (top 24%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bryan County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $139k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1D67HMCGNBCNH5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29