3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,842 sqft ·
Built 1901
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,829
Tax + insurance
−$503
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$-261/mo
Annual
$-3,135/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.21%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$97,664
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (24.8% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $262k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#4 in MO, #652 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F.
Maplewood-Richmond Heights (suburban): math 40% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #63 of 324 in MO (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mrh Elementary (math 40% / reading 57%, grade D, #334 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 417 students, 26% FRL); Maplewood-Richmond Hgts. High (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #19 of 521 statewide, top 4%, 413 students, 32% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Richmond Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1DDS5EB6XNGQ4M
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29