7227 El Moro Ave · Richmond Heights, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$348,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Newer roof, gutters, downspouts, newer appliances newer double hung windows and Trex deck. Former garage is suited for an ideal home office.
Key facts
- Double hung windows
- Newer roof
- Newer appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (12 x 20) with space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren and other providers; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Back yard; Landscaped lot; Vinyl fencing with gate
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement with storage space and both walk-out and walk-up access; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $349k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-251 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (12.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (24.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $263k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Richmond Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#4 in MO, #652 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F.
- Maplewood-Richmond Heights (suburban): math 40% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #63 of 324 in MO (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mrh Elementary (math 40% / reading 57%, grade D, #334 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 417 students, 26% FRL); Maplewood-Richmond Hgts. High (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #19 of 521 statewide, top 4%, 413 students, 32% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.09%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $406,003
- List price
- $348,800
- Delta
- -14.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7227 El Moro Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,842 (0%) | 1mo | $348,800 | $189 | 100 |
| 1420 Rankin Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,968 (+7%) | 1mo | $369,900 | $188 | 76 |
| 2101 Yale Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,704 (-8%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $220 | 66 |
| 1214 Woodland Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,937 (+5%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $206 | 65 |
| 7479 Hiawatha Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,650 (-10%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $197 | 62 |
| 1115 Forest Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,648 (-10%) | 0mo | $274,900 | $167 | 55 |
| 7621 Alicia Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,870 (+2%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $139 | 55 |
| 2023 Bland Pl | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,725 (-6%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $203 | 51 |
| 1035 Central Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (-10%) | 1mo | $309,900 | $186 | 48 |
| 1507 Brock St | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 2,094 (+14%) | 2mo | $575,000 | $275 | 47 |
| 2025 Bland Pl | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,048 (+11%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $149 | 42 |
| 2522 Bellevue | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 | 1,585 (-14%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $76 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-67,492
- Equity at exit
- $52,007
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-57,897
- Equity at exit
- $30,158
Cash invested: $97,664 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63117
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,829
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,296/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$553
- Net cashflow
- $-251
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-54 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-251 | +5% $-350 | +10% $-449 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-460 | -5% $-355 | +0% $-251 | +5% $-147 | +10% $-43 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-76 | -0.5pp $-163 | base $-251 | +0.5pp $-342 | +1.0pp $-434 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,200
- Closing costs
- $10,464
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7103 Horner Ave Unit 7 Richmond Heights, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1816 | $2,995 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 7230 W Park Ave Unit 1fl Richmond Heights, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1617 Forest Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1822 | $1,195 | $0.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1629 Forest Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2212 | $4,760 | $2.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2203 McCausland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2392 | $1,695 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1034 Blendon Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2311 S Big Bend Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1298 | $1,599 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6301 Southwood Ave Unit 3rd floor Clayton, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,500 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6318 S Rosebury Ave Clayton, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,600 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6314 S Rosebury Ave Clayton, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6328 Northwood Ave Unit 2nd floor Clayton, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,950 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 665 S Skinker Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $3,500 | $3.24 | 17d | 40 | 0.99mi |
| 665 S Skinker Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $3,045 | $2.82 | 2d | 43 | 0.99mi |
| 7380 Marietta Ave Maplewood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6414 Wise Ave Unit 401 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7403 Commonwealth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1251 Strassner Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $1,925 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6114 Columbia Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7574 York Dr Clayton, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,975 | $1.57 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 140-char remark
-
2026-05-02$348,800 Active 140-char remark
-
1985-06-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,296 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,296 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,538
- − Property taxes
- −$4,296
- − Insurance
- −$1,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,529
- − Management
- −$2,529
- − Depreciation
- −$10,147
- Taxable loss
- −$9,172
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,201
- After-tax cash flow
- $-816/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maplewood-Richmond Heights
- NCES district ID
- 2920010
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,159
- Composite
- 40.6/100
- National rank
- #3696
- State rank
- #63 of 324 in MO
Livability — Richmond Heights
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #652
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richmond Heights, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 9,261
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,261
- Household income
- $90,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 285.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Chinese 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.54%
- Current HPI
- 220.8603
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Listed $348,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2022): $4,296 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…