3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,645/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$816/mo
Annual
$9,798/yr
Cap rate
20.31%
Cash-on-cash
50.06%
DSCR
3.23
1% rule
2.35%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $816 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#238 in MT) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lockwood K-12 (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #86 of 116 in MT (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lockwood Primary (374 students, 0% FRL); Lockwood Middle School (math 19% / reading 35%, grade F, #115 of 146 statewide, top 79%, 433 students, 0% FRL); Lockwood High School (546 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 1.7% in Lockwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: ceiling fan
— lighting fixture needs cleaning
Minor: curtains
— some appear frayed
CashFlowRE · CFR-1EBSMXD62NGVB4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29