2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,235/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$371
HOA
−$288
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$469
Net cashflow
$-73/mo
Annual
$-882/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.40%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-882/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (5.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (0.7% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#121 in IL, #2,109 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Palos West Elementary School (math 49% / reading 56%, grade C-, #143 of 2,056 statewide, top 7%, 714 students, 0% FRL); Palos South Middle School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #41 of 665 statewide, top 6%, 701 students, 0% FRL); Amos Alonzo Stagg High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,538 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $115k; list at $225k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Palos Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1EFHP64ZF5ZJRA
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29