9168 South Rd Unit A · Palos Hills, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this first-floor condo offering comfort, convenience, and resort-style amenities. This spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a huge walk-in closet, in-unit washer and dryer, and a bright screened-in patio with easy access to parking - perfect for relaxing mornings or quiet evenings outdoors. The attached one-car garage adds extra convenience and storage, while the beautifully landscaped grounds and meticulously maintained community create a welcoming atmosphere year-round. Residents also enjoy access to a clubhouse ideal for parties, gatherings, or large family holidays, along with a swimming pool perfect for summer enjoyment. A wonderful combination of low-maintenan
Key facts
- Huge walk-in closet
- First-floor condo
- Landscaped grounds
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Number of units in building: 12; Living area source: Estimated; Listing possession: Closing or immediate; Directions: 111th Street to Kean Avenue, south to North Road, east to East Road — condo located on the northeast corner of the building.
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $288; Association fee includes parking, insurance, clubhouse, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, scavenger, and snow removal; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; One garage space (two parking spaces total)
- Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan; Sewer: Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single (condo); Entry level: 1; Condo ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Estimated age 41–50 years; Built before 1978: No; Rebuilt/rehab: No
- Exterior features: Common lot; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (12 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with full bath (shower only); Second bedroom on main level (14 x 12); Additional bedrooms listed (bedroom 3, bedroom 4)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Enclosed balcony; Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level (8 x 6); In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-882/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (0.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Palos Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#121 in IL, #2,109 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Palos West Elementary School (math 49% / reading 56%, grade C-, #143 of 2,056 statewide, top 7%, 714 students, 0% FRL); Palos South Middle School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #41 of 665 statewide, top 6%, 701 students, 0% FRL); Amos Alonzo Stagg High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,538 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $225k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.40%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-40,933
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-40,825
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60465
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,235 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$277 /mo · $3,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$288
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $-73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $-10 | +0% $-73 | +5% $-137 | +10% $-201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-250 | -5% $-162 | +0% $-73 | +5% $15 | +10% $103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $40 | -0.5pp $-16 | base $-73 | +0.5pp $-132 | +1.0pp $-191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11225 S Kean Ave Unit 1A Palos Hills, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,850 | $2.04 | 26d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 11180 Moraine Dr Palos Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 26d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $288 · $3,456/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$225,000 Active
-
1995-07-27soldstatus $115,000
-
1991-04-05soldstatus $85,000
-
1988-06-20soldstatus $77,000
-
1987-01-01soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,325 · $277/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,216 · $351/mo
- Expected delta
- +$891/yr (+$74/mo · 26.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,325
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,145
- − Management
- −$2,145
- − HOA
- −$3,456
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$4,531
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cons Hsd 230
- NCES district ID
- 1708400
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,953
- Composite
- 34.29/100
- National rank
- #5244
- State rank
- #146 of 620 in IL
Livability — Palos Hills
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #2109
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palos Hills, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 18,081
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,081
- Household income
- $83,533
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 472.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 31% Armenian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 22% Other Indo-European 7% Arabic 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.08%
- Current HPI
- 179.8906
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+235.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $225,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1991-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1988-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2023): $3,325 · +33.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…