2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,614/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$126
Tax + insurance
−$40
HOA
−$960
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$339
Net cashflow
$149/mo
Annual
$1,788/yr
Cap rate
13.74%
Cash-on-cash
26.61%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
6.72%
Cash to close
$6,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#45 in UT, #2,413 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D-.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Holt School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #494 of 585 statewide, top 85%, 458 students, 41% FRL); North Davis Jr High (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #101 of 138 statewide, top 73%, 924 students, 46% FRL); Clearfield High (math 23% / reading 41%, grade F, #111 of 171 statewide, top 68%, 2,030 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 19% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Davis District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 395 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1EHF213FB181PN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29