3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,495 sqft ·
Built 1901
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$194
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$729/mo
Annual
$8,750/yr
Cap rate
19.75%
Cash-on-cash
48.08%
DSCR
3.14
1% rule
2.46%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#341 in PA, #2,993 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Montoursville Area SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #142 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 4.0% in Montoursville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1ERR441QPMZBQR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29