314 Broad St · Montoursville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special in a prime location! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a strong opportunity for renovation in a highly desirable school district. Situated just behind restaurants, shops, and foot traffic of Broad Street, the location has great potential. The home features a large kitchen area, 4 bedrooms, and a yard that adds additional appeal for future tenants or buyers (would make a nice rental). Key mechanicals include a newer gas hot water heater and gas forced hot air heating system, keeping it efficient. This property is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. With strong upside potential in a sought-after school district, this is a great opportunity to
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1901
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Electric service with fuses
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Block, frame and aluminum siding construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Flooring: Linoleum; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window unit(s) for cooling; No central air
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 4.0% in Montoursville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#341 in PA, #2,993 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Montoursville Area SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #142 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.08%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,815
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418 N Montour St | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,412 (-6%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 1241 Warrensville Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,616 (+8%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $105 | 52 |
| 401 N Arch St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,442 (-4%) | 21mo | $249,900 | $173 | 50 |
| 396 Chestnut St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,472 (-2%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 335 Mulberry St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (+11%) | 19mo | $209,900 | $126 | 47 |
| 305 Walnut St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-9%) | 8mo | $251,000 | $185 | 44 |
| 327 Chestnut St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,641 (+10%) | 3mo | $251,000 | $153 | 43 |
| 308 Chestnut St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (-11%) | 15mo | $229,900 | $172 | 42 |
| 603 N Arch St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,318 (-12%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $137 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $35,985
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 51.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.02×
- Total profit
- $91,447
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17754
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,003/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $729
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129 Jordan Ave Montoursville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-17$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,003 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,003 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,003
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $8,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,984
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,766/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montoursville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215750
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,988
- Composite
- 45.16/100
- National rank
- #2677
- State rank
- #142 of 539 in PA
Livability — Montoursville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #341
- US rank
- #2993
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montoursville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,971
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.31%
- Current HPI
- 231.6196
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — WBVAR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $65,000 WBVAR
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,003 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…