3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,116 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,252
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$345
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$858
Net cashflow
$132/mo
Annual
$1,590/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.32%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$120,258
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $429k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $409k (4.9% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $409k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $678 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
Poway Unified (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #317 of 517 in CA (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1F5SWA1WB47QVC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29