79 Kenzie Trl

Old Orchard Beach, ME 04064

$69,500A-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 630 sqft · Built 2015 · Manufactured · Active · 166 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,204/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$364
• Tax + insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$253
• Net cashflow: $471/mo
• Annual: $5,648/yr
• Cap rate: 14.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.02%
• DSCR: 2.29
• 1% rule: 1.73%
• Cash to close: $19,460

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#88 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• RSU 23 (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #87 of 112 in ME (top 78%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Zoned schools: Jameson Elementary School (184 students, 41% FRL); Loranger Memorial School (math 77% / reading 78%, grade A+, #73 of 85 statewide, top 87%, 279 students, 42% FRL); Old Orchard Beach High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #12 of 108 statewide, top 15%, 203 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 2.1% in Old Orchard Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.