3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,860 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,212/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$860
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-241/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$45,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-241/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (26.1% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#346 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Whitwell Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 492 students, 0% FRL); Whitwell Middle School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #187 of 333 statewide, top 58%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Whitwell High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #163 of 332 statewide, top 51%, 343 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.5% in Whitwell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1GYFGJDEH9FMJ8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29