2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Manufactured
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,655/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$465
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$768
Net cashflow
$959/mo
Annual
$11,511/yr
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.74%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $279k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $279k).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#95 in CA, #3,501 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
Torrance Unified (urban): math 62% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #150 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Walteria Elementary (626 students, 15% FRL); Edward J. Richardson Middle (661 students, 16% FRL); South High (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #826 of 1,170 statewide, top 80%, 1,841 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 64% district-wide (-40 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Torrance Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.1% in Torrance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1H53YJFV4ZQ7A3
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29