3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,422 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$266/mo
Annual
$3,194/yr
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.85%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 35/100 on livability (#1,662 in TX) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pearsall ISD (town): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #810 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pearsall Int (math 11% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,127 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 427 students, 80% FRL); Pearsall J H (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 457 students, 80% FRL); Pearsall H S (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,354 of 1,632 statewide, top 83%, 614 students, 86% FRL).
Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Frio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Frio County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1JBRFK38JHRK8F
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29