2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$834/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$-168/mo
Annual
$-2,010/yr
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.94%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (22.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (24.1% below list).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $83k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#15 in AR, #4,397 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Clinton School District (rural): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #41 of 238 in AR (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $110k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.6% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1KQEY85WCSS4ZV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29