3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$4
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$650
Net cashflow
$532/mo
Annual
$6,380/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.37%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $309k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $304k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Lake Orion Community Schools (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #45 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 129% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $309k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1MS6CDFJZCF7GR
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29